Date: April 20, 2026
The entire Western United States has experienced over two decades of drought conditions. In 2026, the Colorado River basin is on track to experience the driest year on record. This situation has resulted in a dramatic reduction in the water stored in both Lake Powell and Lake Mead. As of April 15, 2026, Lake Powell is 24% full and Lake Mead is 32% full. Lake Powell is the major source of water supply for Lake Mead.
The 2026 release from Lake Powell to Lake Mead has been reduced from 7.48 million acre-feet to 6.0 million acre-feet. Additional water releases from reservoirs upstream of Lake Powell are planned. It is estimated that between 660,000 acre-feet and 1 million acre-feet of water is planned for release to Lake Powell beginning in April 2026 and continuing through April 2027.
We do not yet know the specific hydrologic conditions that may develop in the Colorado River basin later this year and in 2027. However, new reservoir operating criteria must be adopted before October 1, 2026, and those criteria will incorporate additional supply reductions to respond to the extremely dry conditions that have developed over the last several years.
The current low water storage in Lake Mead will result in a reduction in the amount of Colorado River water diverted by the Central Arizona Project (CAP). At this time in 2026, existing CAP deliveries have been reduced by 512,000 acre-feet. This reduction impacts CAP agricultural water users in Central Arizona. Arizona Water Company, like other municipal and industrial water users, will not be impacted by this initial reduction.
Fortunately, Arizona has stored water underground in anticipation of shortage events. The Arizona Water Banking Authority (AWBA) was created in 1996 to store otherwise unused Colorado River water for use by municipal and industrial water users during times of shortage.
Additionally, Arizona Water Company and others have planned for many years for future shortages by implementing water conservation programs, diversifying water supplies, and working cooperatively with various state agencies and other water providers to plan for future shortage conditions. AWC will provide additional information about potential shortage impacts as hydrologic conditions develop and new operating criteria are adopted.
Click here to learn more about the Bureau of Reclamation’s announcement.
This shortage declaration is expected to affect deliveries of CAP water in Maricopa, Pinal and Pima counties, primarily to agricultural water users. Water providers who deliver potable (drinkable) CAP water to residents and businesses in these counties may see very small reductions in 2024. However, most water providers have multiple sources of water to rely on that can offset any reductions in CAP water deliveries. The conditions on the Colorado River System in 2024 have improved compared to 2023 due in part to above average precipitation and conservation efforts, therefore the impact on deliveries is not as severe.
Potable water deliveries to Arizona Water Company customers are not expected to be affected at this time. Arizona Water Company’s primary source of water is groundwater pumped from wells. Arizona Water Company does have multiple contracts to use CAP water which are used to offset our groundwater pumping for most of our water systems located within Maricopa and Pinal counties.
In addition to the Tier 1 reductions, a consensus-based proposal – agreed upon by the three Lower Basin states earlier this year – commits to measures to conserve at least 3 million-acre-feet of system water through the end of 2026, with a target of 1.5 million acre-feet of conservation by the end of 2024.
The Colorado River Basin has been in a prolonged drought. Overall, we are experiencing the driest conditions in the basin in more than 1,200 years. Despite the above-average precipitation over the winter of 2023, the system remains in shortage conditions. The recent above-average precipitation provided welcome short-term improvement but Lake Powell and Lake Mead remain at historically low levels.
Water conservation is an important way to help preserve all of our water resources. In fact, as a state, Arizona uses about as much water today and we did in 1957. This is partially due to conservation efforts throughout the state. We are proud of the efforts of our residents and businesses to conserve water, and we encourage everyone throughout the state to use water wisely. More information on water conservation and water-saving tips can be found at: https://www.azwater.com/conservation/
The Arizona Department of Water Resources (ADWR) and CAP have information on their webpages.
If you have additional questions, please email AWC at: [email protected] Please provide your name and telephone number so we can respond by telephone if needed.